FedEx chief says U.S. is not in a recession

FedEx Corp. Chief Executive Officer Fred Smith said the U.S. economy isn’t in a recession and that oil prices will “drift down for a while.”

FedEx said in June the coming year would be “very difficult” because of near-record fuel prices and a cooling domestic economy. U.S. shipping volume fell 3.4 percent for the three months ended May 31, as fuel surcharges for express service reached 28 percent.

Oil will likely fall in the second half, Smith said, declining to predict a price. “Whether it stays at USD 140 or goes down to USD 110 is anyone’s guess,” he said. “Barring some global event, I think oil prices will drift down for a while.”

Crude jumped more than 70 percent in the past year, closing at a record USD 145.29 a barrel on July 3. The price has dropped 10 percent since then, to USD 130.10 this morning on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

While some shippers are still trading down to cheaper shipping options such as two-day or ground delivery, the “vast majority” of those switches have occurred already, Smith said. Intercontinental express shipments are growing at a “good rate,” he said, without giving specific figures.

Smith wouldn’t comment on his interest in any acquisitions. The Financial Times reported on July 12 that FedEx is in preliminary discussions to buy TNT NV, Europe’s second-biggest express-delivery company.

There have been “lots of rumors swirling about TNT for years,” Smith said. “We don’t comment on corporate development activities.”

FedEx Corp. Chief Executive Officer Fred Smith said the U.S. economy isn’t in a recession and that oil prices will “drift down for a while.”

“I don’t think we’re in a recession,” Smith, 63, said today in a Bloomberg Television interview from FedEx’s headquarters in Memphis, Tenn. “We’re in a period of extremely low growth brought on by high fuel prices and the financial meltdown.”

FedEx said in June the coming year would be “very difficult” because of near-record fuel prices and a cooling domestic economy. U.S. shipping volume fell 3.4 percent for the three months ended May 31, as fuel surcharges for express service reached 28 percent.

Oil will likely fall in the second half, Smith said, declining to predict a price. “Whether it stays at USD 140 or goes down to USD 110 is anyone’s guess,” he said. “Barring some global event, I think oil prices will drift down for a while.”

Crude jumped more than 70 percent in the past year, closing at a record USD 145.29 a barrel on July 3. The price has dropped 10 percent since then, to USD 130.10 this morning on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

While some shippers are still trading down to cheaper shipping options such as two-day or ground delivery, the “vast majority” of those switches have occurred already, Smith said. Intercontinental express shipments are growing at a “good rate,” he said, without giving specific figures.

Smith wouldn’t comment on his interest in any acquisitions. The Financial Times reported on July 12 that FedEx is in preliminary discussions to buy TNT NV, Europe’s second-biggest express-delivery company.

There have been “lots of rumors swirling about TNT for years,” Smith said. “We don’t comment on corporate development activities.”

FedEx fell USD1.60, or 2 percent, to USD 77.92 in New York Stock Exchange composite trading this morning (21st July 2008). The shares have declined 13 percent this year.