Country sheet: Luxembourg – Main Developments in the Postal Sector (2006-2008)
Country sheet: Luxembourg – Main Developments in the Postal Sector (2006-2008)
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Country sheet: Luxembourg – Main Developments in the Postal Sector (2006-2008)
Read MoreCountry sheet: France – Main developments in the postal sector (2006-2008)
Read MoreCountry sheet: Germany – Main developments in the postal sector (2006-
2008)
There’s a new whiff of privatisation in the air. Two of mainland Europe’s biggest state-owned utilities, La Poste in France and Deutsche Bahn in Germany, have signalled they are planning for an injection of private capital as they gear up for liberalisation of EU markets in the post and on the railways.
The postal market is due to be fully competitive from 2011 while the rail market will pre-date it by two years. But the two behemoths are already planning their transformation, with DB’s Hartmut Mehdorn, its chief executive, saying its float of 24.9 pct of its transport, logistics and services arm will take place in late October. This could raise EUR 5bn in one of Europe’s biggest most recent IPOs.
The more extraordinary of the two operations is that of La Poste. Throughout the tortuous negotiations among EU institutions over postal liberalisation, originally slated for 2009, the French operator was among the fiercest critics of full-scale competition – unlike the British, Germans and Swedes. But Jean-Paul Bailly, its chairman, has had a Damascene conversion.
He now wants to raise up to EUR 3bn to help finance La Poste’s European expansion and to get the legal process in place so that the public enterprise, changed into a SA (PLC), can open up its capital as early as 2011. Rather than attract pension funds, Bailly apparently wants to raise capital via the stockmarket. The state, probably in the form of its investment arm, the CDC, could play a restricted role and the 400,000 current and retired employees would be reserved their share. But the target is institutional and retail investors.
The British group, in its submission to the independent (Hooper) review of the postal market, complains repeatedly of its limited equity capital as its struggles to deal with losses in its declining universal, six-day letters service and what it claims is a GBP 2.6bn cash gap caused by price controls. Its regulator, Postcomm, openly favours the injection of private capital and private sector partnerships to enable a “more rapid transformation” and make it more efficient and profitable.
But it’s far from clear how this would be achieved and experts believe that private capital will only be available if Royal Mail is broken up, with profitable parts of its business like Parcelforce sold off. Meanwhile, the Greeks and Estonians are thinking of privatising their postal operator. The Danes and Swedes are getting together, with the Danish state, postal employees and private equity group CVC owning 40% and the Swedish state and employees of Posten owning the other 60% of the combined operation.
Unless the Hooper report comes up with some radical proposals and this or the next government is ready to bite the bullet, the Brits, the privatisation pioneers, are in danger of being left behind in the EU – again.
Shares of TNT, UPS, FedEx and DHL parent Deutsche Post World Net have fluctuated dramatically over the last two months due to a mix of factors including takeover speculation, the impact of the economic slowdown and rising oil prices, a CEP-Research analysis showed.
TNT, UPS and FedEx ended August showing increases compared to the end of June after repeated speculation during July and August that UPS and FedEx were each in talks with TNT over a possible acquisition. The reported deals followed the recent economic downturn and rising fuel costs that have hit the demand for package deliveries and led to a revival of merger discussions.
TNT shares were up 13.29pct to EUR 25.50 as of August 29 compared to 26 June.
The two US integrators, FedEx and UPS, have also been impacted by the takeover rumours with their shares rising over the last two months, although other factors such as the US downturn and the strong rise in fuel prices also played major roles in the share performance.
FedEx experienced a moderate share price increase of 5.71pct as of August 29 compared to the end of June.
DPWN shares were negatively impacted during the last two months by rising oil prices and worsening economic conditions as well as by the widespread reports about the restructuring of the DHL Express US business, and political opposition to the planned Wilmington hub closure in particular. The company’s shares dropped by 4.98pct to EUR 15.85 as of August 29 compared to two months previously.

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