UPS & FedEx decline points to continuing recession (U.S)
Falling shipments at United Parcel Service Inc. and FedEx Corp., which together deliver 80 percent of packages in the U.S., show the economy is in a recession and unlikely to rebound this year.
UPS, whose domestic volume has outperformed the gross domestic product for almost a century until last year, said April 8 that deliveries dropped in the first quarter. UPS also said earnings for the three months through March will miss its previous projection by as much as 7.4 percent, just the third time the Atlanta-based company has made a new forecast that was below an earlier one.
FedEx’s U.S. shipments dropped 2 percent last quarter, and the company said last month it would have “limited earnings growth” this year because of the slowing economy. Both companies are also struggling with soaring jet-fuel, gasoline and diesel costs after crude oil surged 80 percent in the past year. to be.”
UPS Chief Financial Officer Kurt Kuehn said at a March 12 investor presentation that 2008 will be “challenging” because of the cooling economy and that the “downside risks have increased” for volumes.
FedEx’s profit for the fourth quarter ending May 31 may drop 14 percent to USD 525.1 million, according to the average of five estimates in a Bloomberg survey. Chief Financial Officer Alan Graf said last month that lower demand for express shipments in the U.S. will continue into fiscal 2009.
The volume decreases for the two shippers confirms “the outlook that we are projecting for the rest of 2008 as being very bleak,” said Satish Jindel, president of SJ Consulting Group Inc. in Sewickley, Pennsylvania, whose clients have included UPS and FedEx.
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