Deutsche Post rated second class
German mail operator Deutsche Post is not going to have a very happy new year in 2008 when the German postal sector is liberalized, say the analysts that downgraded the stock on Tuesday.
Although there have been efforts to delay the liberalization of Europe’s 88 billion euro (USD119.9 billion) mail market, which was pushed back to 2011 from 2009 in July, Germany is still on target to open up its national postal sector to competition at the start of next year.
“A delay to German mail liberalization (scheduled for 2008) now seems unlikely,” said Matthew Lloyd, analyst with Goldman Sachs. He told clients that Deutsche Post faced volume loss and margin erosion from increased competition, and downgraded the stock to “Sell” from “Buy.”
Shares in Deutsche Post fell 67 eurocents (91 cents), or 3.1 pct, to 20.82 euros (USD28.37) in Frankfurt. The stock finished bottom of the DAX index, which slid 28.52 points, or 0.4 pct , to 7,457.47.
Although Deutsche Post currently has over 90 pct market share in Germany, the threat to its business from outside competition has seen the company forecast a drop in earnings between 10 pct -20 pct in 2009.
Read More
