Tag: International

DHL-Lufthansa freighter debut in 2009

DHL Express and Lufthansa Cargo’s new joint venture cargo airline AeroLogic will take off in the first half of next year with the 103-tonne B777-200 freighters. AeroLogic initially plans to operate a leased fleet of 11 B777-200s, mainly from its home hub in Leipzig, Germany, to/from major Asian markets, subject to obtaining traffic rights.

The first four aircraft are scheduled for delivery in 2009, starting in February, with four more to follow in 2010, two in 2011 and the final one in 2012.

DHL Express, part of German logistics group Deutsche Post World Net, will take the major share of the new B777F fleet capacity on weekdays to boost its Asia-Europe air express network. At weekends, Lufthansa Cargo will take over the main responsibility for filling the aircraft, this time with freight, on both scheduled and charter services, mainly on European routes to/from Asia and also North America (New York and Chicago).

In terms of aircraft block hours, the anticipated split will be 74 percent express network operations and 26 percent general cargo services. Capacity-wise, the weekly split will be DHL 61 percent, Lufthansa Cargo 39 percent.

DHL Express chief executive officer of global aviation, Charles Graham, claimed the advent of the B777F operations would speed up overall transit times for the Europe-Asia express traffic. “The percentage of traffic in both directions between Europe and Asia that we are able to pick up and deliver on the other continent before noon on the second day will increase to something like 80 percent,” he said.

AeroLogic, which is capitalised at USD74 million, is targeted to generate revenue of USD148 million in its start-up year of 2009, rising to USD 444 million in 2010 and USD 814 million once fully operational in 2011. The new airline will lease its first eight B777Fs from a company called Deucalion Capital VII, which is managed by German financial institution DVB Bank.

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Exit of Zumwinkel may end DHL push into US

The abrupt exit of Klaus Zumwinkel, chairman of DHL parent Deutsche Post, has heightened speculation that DHL may sell its struggling US business.

Zumwinkel tendered his resignation on February 15, following raids of his office and residence by German tax authorities the day before. He is being investigated for alleged tax evasion of around USD 1.4 million.

With his November retirement day in sight, Zumwinkel left under a cloud after leading the company for 18 years. He turned a postal outfit into an USD 88 billion logistics giant.
Throughout his tenure Zumwinkel was seemingly untouchable, lording it over Deutsche Post. But in recent months he came under mounting criticism, most of it directed at DHL’s struggling US expansion. Having acquired Airborne Express for about USD 1 billion in 2003, the company was trying to establish itself as a third force in the US market behind UPS and FedEx, but the operation has produced a flood of red ink, despite several efforts and heavy investment to stem the flow. According to some estimates, DHL could lose D 900 million in the US this year alone.

The first salvo against the US strategy came last November, when investment firm Bear Stearns concluded that DHL stood no chance of producing profits in the US in the foreseeable future and advocated a retreat from the US market. Subsequently a second Wall Street firm argued that DHL should abandon the intra-US business.

Since then, speculation has been swirling around DHL that it might sell its US business.
Although the new Deutsche Post chief Frank Appel has pledged to focus on the loss-making US unit and chief financial officer John Allan, whose contract has been extended by two years until the end of 2010, pledged to improve performance of DHL in the US, rumours have been leaking out of Deutsche Post’s headquarters that a number of options were under consideration to end the losses in North America.

One scenario that has been bandied about sees DHL handing over the intra-US business to FedEx, which could in turn have DHL handle its intra-European traffic. FedEx and Deutsche Post have declined to comment on these speculations, but sources close to DHL place the origin of this rumour in the Deutsche Post management.

Selling the US arm of DHL Express to FedEx seems unlikely, though, as FedEx has no need for the infrastructure that its smaller rival has built up in that market. Moreover, an outright sale might face legal obstacles. A report by Bear Stearns argues that anti-trust reasons would prevent FedEx from buying what amounts to 11-12 percent of the US air express market.
“However, we suppose FedEx could purchase DHL’s smaller ground business and form some form of partnership with DHL to deliver some portion of their air express packages,” the report concluded.

While not commenting directly on rumours of a FedEx deal, Allan declared that “there can be no question of exiting the US business. Any options which include a withdrawal can be completely ruled out”.

Deutsche Post has repeatedly stressed that its presence in the US market generates a host of international traffic, such as flows from Asian customers to North America. Allan declared that the US express business is a key management priority for Deutsche Post.
“We are looking at a variety of options to improve performance. In doing so, we are committed to maintaining a significant presence in the US market, which remains of strategic importance to the group,” he said.

The first salvo since these comments came on February 12, when DHL Express USA announced a plan to eliminate some 600 jobs. “This action is one of several measures we are taking to improve our competitive position in the US market, which is strategic to our global growth plan,” said Hans Hickler, CEO of DHL Express USA.

But profitability is in short supply. On January 24, Deutsche Post announced it would take an USD 874 million write-down of the value of its express business in the Americ

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Geojit Financial Services is bullish on Blue Dart, Abbott India

Blue Dart is an 81pct subsidiary of the DHL Group, Shah said. “The company has posted excellent December quarter results. It plans to compliment and widen service offerings. It has launched a new surface express product in CY07 called Dart Surfline, which is expected to grow 40-45pct per annum.”

Abbott India is a 65pct subsidiary of Abbott Inc USA, he said. “The company’s numbers are in line with expectation. It provides healthcare services through business units. The parent company Abbott Inc is a leading player globally and is focused on pharma.”
Q: What makes you so bullish on Blue Dart? Is it the sector as a whole or the fact that they had a stellar set of December numbers?

A: It is basically the sector considering the kind of growth potential. If you consider the number of MNC plans that are coming into India, logistics business is supposed to grow going forward from hereon. Considering the capex cycle that corporate India has, the entire sector in logistics looks quite good, whether it is Blue Dart or certain other reasonably low-end players.

Blue Dart is a 81pct subsidiary of DHL and is one of South Asia’s most integrated courier and logistics company. It also has the benefit of covering 220 countries, considering it is an 81pct subsidiary of DHL. Also, the distribution service spectrum is about to witness a fair amount of growth from hereon.

Blue Dart has been in the domestic market for a very long time and also has the expertise to deliver. Considering that companies like Tesco, Wal*Mart and Carrefour are opening their retail outlets in India, the services provided by Blue Dart would definitely tend to grow, keeping in mind the kind of retail boom we are seeing.

We have a price target of Rs 750 on Blue Dart over a one-year timeframe. Possibly, if you have a stretched out timeframe, it can even get better from hereon.

Abbott India is a 65pct subsidiary of Abbott Inc. USA. Abbott India provides healthcare solutions to its three segments – primary care, specialty care and hospitality care. The parent company Abbott Inc has got good number of products in its pipeline and is well poised to take advantage of the patent when it unfolds in India.

Considering the kind of growth that the healthcare business can possibly see in India, I think the topline and bottomline would definitely benefit. Abbott could possibly well be poised to leverage the parent company’s product line-up. We have a price target of about Rs 630 with a one-year timeframe.

Q: The volumes on both these stocks are dismally low. How would you explain the kind of price rise or interest in the counters on such low volumes?

A: With Abbott especially, it has traded only on BSE. In case you are a one-year plus kind of an investor, then these kinds of volumes should not make much of a difference, because you are not taking a trading call over here. The volumes are definitely low on both Abbott as well as Blue Dart. But if you have a delivery perspective and a one-year timeframe, then these kinds of low volumes should not deter you from making an investment.

Of course, the sectors that both these companies are placed in, tends to grow from hereon, on the domestic consumption growth story. So, considering these two points, volumes should not deter you from making an investment call on these two companies.

Q: Any disclosures?

A: No personal holdings. But since our company has got a buy report on both, our clients might be holding their positions in the two companies

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Postcomm consults on licence application from LDS Cambridge Limited

Postcomm today began a 30-day consultation on the proposed grant of a postal operator’s licence to LDS Cambridge Limited.
Under the licensing framework that took effect from 1 January 2006, and was amended in January 2008, the licence would:
– allow LDS Cambridge Limited to provide all types of postal service;
– be issued for a rolling ten year period; and
– require the company to comply with copdes of practice on mail integrity (safety and security of the mail) and common operational procedures (designed to ensure the multi-operator market works well in practice).

The consultation notice and proposed licence can be found on the LDS Cambridge Limited consultation page.

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Global cargo firms keen to fly into India

The air cargo industry in India is all set to expand its wings. According to ministry of civil aviation, three international companies — FedEx, Malaysia Airlines (MAS) and Australia-based HeavyLift Cargo Airlines — have approached the ministry seeking details on setting up and expanding their operations in India.

The three freighter service providers have sought clarification on the recent Cabinet decision to increase the foreign direct investment (FDI) cap from 49 pct to 74 pct in the air cargo sector.

According to ministry sources, MAS plans to start a dedicated freighter service between Kuala Lumpur and Delhi this year and is also considering using Delhi as its cargo transit point from Amsterdam and Frankfurt. At present, MAS has no dedicated freighter services to India.

A World Air Cargo report says India is the leading international freight market in the sub-continent. Out of the total 1.4 million tonnes of international cargo that flew in and out of the region, India moved the maximum with 8.82 lakh tonnes. Kuljeet Singh, partner, Ernst and Young, feels there is a lot of scope for cargo airlines in India.

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