DHL Restructuring – Wheels in Motion But Likely to Take Some Time
RESTRUCTURING IN THE U.S. Following the recent USD 784M write down related to its Americas Express business, 600 recently announced layoffs in the U.S., and change in DPWN’s CEO, several European and U.S. newspapers have reported that DHL could announce either the sale or restructuring of its U.S. business at its parent DPWN’s analysts meeting in Bonn on March 6th.
BACKGROUND ON DHL’S PROBLEMS IN THE U.S. DHL bought Airborne in late 2003 and over the next few years merged its existing U.S. import/export business in with Airborne’s predominantly domestic express business. However, DP has never been able to realize its expected cost synergies and has reported an estimated USD 2.8B in losses in North America over the past 4 years.
WHAT ARE DHL’S OPTIONS? For anti-trust reasons we don’t believe that either UPS or FDX could buy DHL’s N.A. assets or complete book of business. More likely DHL will seek to further stem losses by reducing its commitment in the U.S. through cost reductions/restructuring and partnerships (outsourcing some line-haul and P&D), while making it clear they intend to remain in the U.S. Look for it to reduce terminals and push more freight towards the ground.
WHAT IS THE TIMING? DHL is in a tough position because if customers believe there is even a chance it will exit the U.S., DHL’s competitive position will be compromised. Thus action needs to be swift, but DPWN tends to be contemplative and current Teamster issues likely prevent a major restructuring before April or May. At this point we expect modest restructuring efforts to be announced on March 6th with a clear indication of remaining in the U.S. and more restructuring to come.
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