Thoughts on FDX’ F3Q:05 earnings report
FDX reported $1.03 EPS for F3Q:05 (Feb. quarter) vs. our estimate of $1.00, recently upwardly revised Consensus (First Call) of $0.98 and 45% better than $0.71 a year ago. Upside to our model was driven primarily by FedEx Ground with modest upside to Kinko’s based on our low expectations. LTL was modestly below our expectations and Express in-line.
Strong operating metrics. Operating income was up 43% y-o-y on 21.1% revenue growth (including 12.8% growth prior to Kinko’s acquisition) and 110bp of y-o-y consolidated margin improvement (150bp improvement not including Kinko’s). This compared with our expectations for 38% operating income growth on revenue growth of 19% and 100bp margin improvement.
Broad based strength. Volume and yield growth rates across virtually every product line were better than we expected (see Exhibit 1) driven by a strong economy, market share gains on the ground, continued rational but competitive pricing and a modest benefit from fuel.
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